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RISC-V takes a quarter of new chip designs

RISC-V, the open, royalty-free instruction set, takes at least a quarter of new chip designs by 2030, mostly in IoT, edge and AI-accelerator control, while Arm keeps phones and datacentre CPUs.

76 ↑13 confidence, computed 23 Oct 2026
  • Technical
OctJan 2026AprJulOct76nowforagainst Jan 2026Jul76nowforagainst
Fig. 1The evidence leans for, about 6 to one by weight, but the newest evidence points the other way.
What rests on thismarkets it underwrites or threatens
Evidencethe schedule the figure draws
The evidence, newest first